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  #76  
Old December 3, 2012, 10:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AsifTheManRahman
Bhais, khela shuru hote aar kotokkhon baki? I'm dryyyyy.

Posted via BC Mobile Edition (Blackberry)
1 day 15 hr 47 min 21 sec
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  #77  
Old December 3, 2012, 10:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dilscoop
Things people should get a warning for the following reasons (followed by bans, from here on out):

- Opening rankings-related threads until we are in top 3
- Celebratory threads
- Countdown threads

These make us look lame! I wouldn't care if I wasn't part of this forum, but because I'm I care. I care about my image! And BC can't ruin people like me, ATMR and etc's images! BC don't have the right to do that! NO RIGHT!
When is your semester ending?
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  #78  
Old December 3, 2012, 10:49 AM
Dilscoop Dilscoop is offline
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The Case of Abul. He did nothing thus far, yet I feel obligated to keep him for the next series.
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  #79  
Old December 3, 2012, 11:58 AM
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Dhaka is a tricky ground. Fan expectations, media coverage & hype are all on steroids in the capital and given the 2-0 lead and the chance to win the series, the WC memories keep coming back ...

but this is a different team than the one in 58/78 disaster and youngsters like Bijoy, Mominul, Gazi are just FEARLESS at this point....

inshAllah we'll put our cent percent effort and hope for a win....
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  #80  
Old December 3, 2012, 12:04 PM
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People talk about that 58 all out yes it happened but the Bangladesh back then in 11 World Cup were a pathetic team that lacked confidence. Its obvious that BPL they had gave them the real confidence on how to take on the best without anxiety.
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  #81  
Old December 3, 2012, 12:21 PM
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Abul out and Zia in!
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  #82  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:27 PM
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Dhaka ground always give the scare of 58/78...though we are up but this game might be totally upside down...denom comes in the pitch when we bat there
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  #83  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SS
Dhaka ground always give the scare of 58/78...though we are up but this game might be totally upside down...denom comes in the pitch when we bat there
58 kono bepar-e na. tamim -anamul will score those runs within first 10 overs.

Selfish telfish bolaye Anamu bohut kepe ache... he will show the fans "Hum kisise Kom nehi, I can play like Tamim"

Now dream about what they will do for next 40 overs.
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  #84  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:34 PM
zsayeed zsayeed is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zunaid
That's not quite a valid assertion because the assumption being made here is that all opponents are of equal strength. For a better predictive power, we will need to factor in the strength of the opposition at the very least.

Looks like a simple machine learning model could be constructed. For simplicity, we can start with the following features:
  • Oponent strength - we can use ICC rating as a value
  • Type of match (ODI/TEST/T20I)
  • Ground
Of course, we can start more and more features such as month of match, who batted first, team compositions (how many spinners vs pacers), etc etc.

Of course, the more features we have, we need to come up with some feature selection algorithm - or we may be in danger over fitting.

I just have a gut feeling that we might get best results with an SVM. But YMMV.
apney koren
But that sounds like a good advice, advisor. Should advise some BUET students on this one doc.
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  #85  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:43 PM
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Can we win the series in 3rd ODI? Hope we confirm the series next game.
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  #86  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:45 PM
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Wounded animal is very dangerous. You need to kill it at first chance.

So 3rd ODI is our last chance to win the series.
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  #87  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:57 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fazal
58 kono bepar-e na. tamim -anamul will score those runs within first 10 overs.

Selfish telfish bolaye Anamu bohut kepe ache... he will show the fans "Hum kisise Kom nehi, I can play like Tamim"

Now dream about what they will do for next 40 overs.
Mamu, jobbor ekkhan post marlen!
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  #88  
Old December 3, 2012, 01:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fazal
Wounded animal is very dangerous. You need to kill it at first chance.

So 3rd ODI is our last chance to win the series.
Or, first chance?!
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  #89  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zsayeed

Last 10 year BD has won 41% in Dhaka, last 5 years: 39%, last 2 years won 29%, and last 12 months won 40% (exactly) of the matches. Probabilistically speaking BD's probability of win is 40% I would think, but I feel it will be close to 80% by recent performance with this WI team. In fact - in the 1st test we almost should have won.

Zsayeed Bhai ,

1. What's the probability of mushy's toss winning tomorrow?
2. What % of dew are you expecting during day & night of the match?
3. If our spinners have to bowl under artificial light, then what % of the ball they'll be able to grip properly ? (Considering dew factor)
4. What are the chances for Crisis bhai to propose Kanta?

Please reply
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  #90  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:49 PM
Hamlafan Hamlafan is offline
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overdue century players: Tamim Iqbal, Mushfiqur Rahim and Nasir Hossain
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  #91  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:49 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fazal
Wounded animal is very dangerous. You need to kill it at first chance.

So 3rd ODI is our last chance to win the series.
huh?
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  #92  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:52 PM
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West indies will play chandu, powell and edwards in this game. They are in good form.

It wont be easy this time.
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  #93  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:52 PM
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Zia in place of Abul , not a bad choice . It will strengthen our lower order batting .
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  #94  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mali007
Zia in place of Abul , not a bad choice . It will strengthen our lower order batting .
I would have liked Rubel. Zia's bowling will likely be crushed by the WI batsmen.
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  #95  
Old December 3, 2012, 03:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Murad
West indies will play chandu, powell and edwards in this game. They are in good form.

It wont be easy this time.
chandu is not in odi squad.

powell hasnt impressed much in shorter version and edward also on expensive side.

chndu not even in the squad
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  #96  
Old December 3, 2012, 05:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiger444
Nope Australia's there. They're 4th on that list
Australia, not in the results table but AS THE OPPOSITION, is missing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiger Manc
A slight tweak in the dates and this stat looks even better. We're 3rd on the list and look at our batting average and run rate.

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...ults;type=team
Add Australia to the oppostion list and we're 2nd in the list.

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...ults;type=team
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  #97  
Old December 3, 2012, 05:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dilscoop
Things people should get a warning for the following reasons (followed by bans, from here on out):

- Opening rankings-related threads until we are in top 3
- Celebratory threads
- Countdown threads

These make us look lame! I wouldn't care if I wasn't part of this forum, but because I'm I care. I care about my image! And BC can't ruin people like me, ATMR and etc's images! BC don't have the right to do that! NO RIGHT!
Some valid points.
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  #98  
Old December 3, 2012, 05:59 PM
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Can't wait for the game to begin. A long time to go though :'(
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  #99  
Old December 3, 2012, 06:37 PM
zsayeed zsayeed is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WorldCup11
Zsayeed Bhai ,

1. What's the probability of mushy's toss winning tomorrow?
2. What % of dew are you expecting during day & night of the match?
3. If our spinners have to bowl under artificial light, then what % of the ball they'll be able to grip properly ? (Considering dew factor)
4. What are the chances for Crisis bhai to propose Kanta?

Please reply
Bishocup bhai - 1, 2, 3 are really good ones - lots depend on that. 3 er jonno to amra swann key kandaiya disilam jodio chottogrammey. asha kori amader kantey hoibo na. Ai dew er modhdhey na BPL e M. Haque 53 korsilo. Shakib ball er seam khuija paitha silo na dhakai.

IN SBNCS in day night ODIs batting first we won 1 out of 12 games, and bowling first we won 4 out of 11 games in last 5 years. So bowl first is very important.
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...am;view=ground
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...am;view=ground

Compared to that day matches have little impact on outcome: bat first won 6/11, bowl first: 7/12. (last 3 years, day matches at SBNCS )
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...am;view=ground
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...am;view=ground

And this one needs a little double checking on you guys' part. It appears Mushy has marshalled the team in 12 ODIs so far (?) and has won the toss 8 times. 67% probability we will win toss, and then 4/11 probability we will win = .67*.36 = 25% probability, mind you just based on toss and record. NO SKILL ACCOUNTED FOR (Zunaid bhai!). Just the cold cold hearted numbers. If we lose the toss, and Sammy makes us bat ta hoiley kintu khobor asey.

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...ults;type=team
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/eng...ss=1;type=team

4 is the best - chinta koira dekhsen biya hoiley bashar modhdhey ki obosta hoibo? Palan palan ekhono shomoi asey. Kanta rey biya korley sharadin rait kantey hoibo.


Lastly, and this again someone from metereology can help, the dew point for that night is 43 F and the temperature will be 67 F. Humidity of 45%. http://www.accuweather.com/en/bd/dha...st/28143?day=2
The rate of temperature drop is 1 F/hr with dew oint decreasing at .33 F per hr - it appears that the ground will cool slowly with zero cloud cover past 6 pm. And here is my best guess that dew will play a role but not significantly. That's all I could do.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/bd/dha.../28143?hour=41

And for ZUnaid Bhai: I know it can be finessed more, but someone else can if they wish. This is a start and always can be improved.
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Last edited by zsayeed; December 3, 2012 at 07:21 PM..
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  #100  
Old December 3, 2012, 07:24 PM
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Rifat Rifat is offline
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I hope Rubel Hossain is feeling healthy, I would pick him.
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