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Old April 8, 2007, 10:20 PM
tarikur's Avatar
tarikur tarikur is offline
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Join Date: April 7, 2007
Posts: 9
Default Semi-Final Calculations and Scenarios

Here is how Bangladesh can go to the the Semi-finals. Basically, Australia, New Zealand and Sri Lanka already made it to semi-finals, the competition for the fourth team for the semi-final is between England, South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Currently, England, South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh all played 4 games. Currently, England, West Indies and Bangladesh are tied with 2 points and South Africa has 4 points which means they have 1 game win and 2 points more than us.

Here are the crucial games that we have to watch.

England v Bangladesh
West Indies v Bangladesh
Bangladesh v Ireland
South Africa v England
West Indies v England
West Indies v South Africa
South Africa v New Zealand

Here is how it will work in order tfor Bangladesh to make it to the semi-finals

If Bangladesh wins all three games, Bangladesh will get 8 points.

- England and West Indies will be out, definitely. It is not possible for them to make it to the semi-finals because highest they can have is 6 points. Even if they win other two games, it won't matter if Bangladesh win against them.

Scenario 1) South Africa loses all 3 games, South Africa will end up with 4 point. Bangldesh will definitely semi-finals.

South Africa loses 2 games, South Africa will end up with 6 point. Bangldesh will definitely semi-finals. Here are Scenarios
Scenario 2) South Africa lose to Zealand and England
Scenario 3) South Africa lose to Zealand and West Indies
Scenario 4) South Africa lose to England and West Indies (note, it won't matter if England and West Indies win because highest point they can have is 6)

Scenario 5) South Africa lose 1 games, Sri Lanka lose 2 games. It won't matter what team South Africa or Sri Lanka loses against. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa and Sri Lanka and Bangladesh.

Scenario 6) South Africa lose 1 games and Sri Lanka win all games . It won't matter what team South Africa loses against. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa and Bangladesh.

Scenario 7) South Africa win all games and Sri Lanka lose 2 games, New Zealand lose 2 games. New-Zealand has to lose against Australia and South Africa, It won't matter what team Sri Lanka loses against. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between New Zealand, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

Scenario 8) South Africa win all games and Sri Lanka lose 2 games, It won't matter what team Sri Lanka loses against. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

Scenario 9) South Africa win all games and New Zealand lose 2 games. It won't matter what team New Zealand loses against. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between New Zealand and Bangladesh.

Scenario 10) South Africa win all games and Australia loses all games. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between Australia and Bangladesh.

If Bangladesh lose 1 games, Bangladesh will get 6 points.

Scenario 11) ) Bangladesh loses against England. South Africa loses to New Zealand, West Indies and England. West Indies has to win against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 12) Bangladesh loses against England. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and England and if win against West Indies. England has to lose against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 13) Bangladesh loses against England. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and West Indies and if win against England. England win against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 14) Bangladesh loses against England. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and West Indies and if win against England. England lose against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Scenario 15) Bangladesh loses against West Indies. South Africa loses against New Zealand, England West Indies. England has to win against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between West Indies and Bangladesh.
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Scenario 16) Bangladesh loses against West Indies. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and West Indies and if win against England. West Indies has to lose against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Scenario 17) Bangladesh loses against West Indies. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and England and if win against West Indies. West Indies win against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Scenario 18) Bangladesh loses against West Indies. South Africa has to lose against New Zealand and England and if win against West Indies. West Indies lose against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 19) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and England and West Indies. West Indies has win against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between West Indies and Bangladesh.

Scenario 20) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and England and West Indies. West Indies has lose against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 21) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and England and win against West Indies. England loses against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa and Bangladesh.

Scenario 22) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and England and win against West Indies. England win against West Indies. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, England and Bangladesh.

Scenario 23) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and West Indies and win against England. West Indies loses against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa and Bangladesh.

Scenario 24) Bangladesh loses against Ireland. South Africa lose to New Zealand and West Indies and win against England. West Indies win against England. Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Scenario 25) Bangladesh loses against one team, could be any team. South Afica has to lose against New Zealand and West Indies or England or both. Sri Lanka loses all their games Who-ever has the better run-rate will go on between South Africa, West Indies and Bangladesh.

Bangladesh can't Lose 2 games. It is impossible for Bangladesh to advance if they lose 2 games

Final Note:
So my Friends, scenario 1-3 are best scenarios. Bangladesh has to win all games and South Africa has to lose at least 2 games. Remember, Bangladesh has very bad run-rate, if it come down to run-rate, Bangladesh more likely not to have the best and not make it to the semi-final. So do not go for run-rate scenarios.

Last edited by tarikur; April 8, 2007 at 11:04 PM..
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