My guess is Rana will play and not Mahmud. Two reasons:
1. Rana has had more recent success with the bat than Mahmud (who nowadays rarely makes a contribution with the bat).
2. Mahmud's role is made somewhat rendered redundant with the emergence of Aftab who seems to be well capable of bowling 10 odd ODI overs.
At the very least, the following line-up should be tried for at least one ODI, preferably the first:
JO
N Iqbal
A Ahmed
M Ash
H Bash
Tush Imran
Rana
Khaled Masud
Rafique
Nazmul
Mashrafe
The above line-up seems pretty balanced to me, both in batting and bowling department.
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