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Transfer Market- How to Value a Player
Posted on April 18th, 2009
Posted by thedon5 under Howzzat!
An important aspect of the transfer market is being able to value players effectively, so that each time you list someone you don’t need to run over to the Player Valuations board. The aim of this article is to help you to value most of your players by yourself, even though there will be the odd player that you need to post in the player valuations thread. Note this is in reference to valuing players in the current FTP economic situation, so it may not be useful at all parts of the season.
First, look at the player. What are his skills? Let’s say our example player has an accomplished primary. Let’s say he is this player:
Relegation from Sigiriya Material >> Ash Qadir >> Details
Player Details
Team (Senior) Relegation from Sigirya Material Talents Safe Hands
Bats Right hand batsman Bowls Right arm Wrist spin
Wage $3,978 Rating 29,508
Nationality Australia Age 21
Form reasonable Fatigue energetic
Experience ordinary Captaincy dreadful
Endurance average
Batting accomplished Bowling dreadful
Technique reliable Power ordinary
Keeping poor Fielding ordinary
We can see that this player has decent secondaries. Ordinary power and fielding, and average endurance are fairly good, so that the buyer knows that they can successfully train up the secondaries as high as they want without it taking an eternity. The experience is at a level seen commonly nowadays in players of this skill, accomplished/reliable. He has a fairly good talent, nothing that can boost his price up though, and his wage is fairly good, telling us he is around halfway through accomplished batting and tech, or close to popping in either batting or tech, and that he recently popped in either.
From here, we can deduce that this player is the type of player you can very commonly find on the TM. This should mean that you can easily value this player yourself.
So here are the steps to valuing a common player like this.
1.Look at the player, and study him as we have already done. This should mean that we can complete the following steps much easier.
2.Make a transfer search looking for similair players. In this case, let’s search for minimum and maximum accomplished batting and reliable tech.
3.Bam, we get about 2 results of similair players, with decent secondaries and a slightly helpful talent. We see that they are similair, by seeing that
4.Look at these new players, think of the ways in which you can compare them with your player, think of what differences these players may have. TIP- When comparing the players, you may find it easier opening more than one window/tab.
In the search we made, we found these players:
German Dictators >> Adolf Hitler >> Details
Player Details
Team (Senior) German Dictators Talents Skilled (Batting)
Bats Left hand batsman Bowls Right arm Medium
Wage $3,871 Rating 35,508
Nationality Australia Age 21
Form reasonable Fatigue revived
Experience dreadful Captaincy average
Endurance ordinary
Batting accomplished Bowling atrocious
Technique reliable Power poor
Keeping poor Fielding ordinary
Johnny’s Englishmen >> Johnny English >> Details
Player Details
Team (Senior) Johnny’s Englishmen Talents Gifted (Keeping)
Bats Right hand batsman Bowls Left arm Fast
Wage $3,934 Rating 30,203
Nationality English Age 22
Form reasonable Fatigue rested
Experience poor Captaincy dreadful
Endurance reasonable
Batting accomplished Bowling dreadful
Technique reliable Power average
Keeping poor Fielding poor
Both are very similair to our player, Ash Qadir. Both were listed at 0, and both of these prices are not neccesarily what someone would go for on the transfer market, it is just an example.
We can see that Adolf Hitler does have a relevant talent, that should drive his price up, but lower experience, endurance and power that should slightly lower his price. Thus, he should go for slightly more than Ash Qadir. When a person is buying a player, when they see a guy with a level lower power, experience or endurance, that shouldn’t make then bid too much less for the player. Adolf Hitler is on the market right now, and ends in six hours. He is currently selling at approximately $314,000.
We can see that the other player, Johnny English, is even more similair to our player Ash Qadir. He has a level lower fielding, a level high power (slightly increases wages), a level higher endurance and a level lower experience. You could say he is close to being a copycat to our player Ash Qadir’s skills. Johnny English is on the market right now, and ends in eleven hours. He is currently selling at approximately $266,000.
Now, we are going to estimate a price for Ash Qadir using these other examples. We know that Adolf Hitler may not get many as many bids as Johnny English, since he ends five hours earlier than Johnny English. So in our example we can slightly increase the prices of both players, so that Adolf Hitler is at $350,000, and Johnny English is at $300,000. So we can approximate that our player Ash Qadir will go for something similair to these figures. TIP- Only use players at prices such as $374,317, instead of $400,00, as exact figures such as the latter can be slightly more than what the player is worth, and thus not suitable to compare with your player.
So we have approxiamted that the value of our player, Ash Qadir is $320,000.
Now, we have a few choices.
List at slightly more than what he is worth, and hope for a bid. In this case we can try $350,000-$400,000.
List at exactly what he is worth, and look for a bid. We can try around $300,000-$330,000.
List at below what he is worth, and look for a bidding war in the last day. So for this we can try $0 or $150,000-$250,000.
So now, we have valued our player ourselves in only a few minutes, as opposed to waiting days, or not getting a valuation at all on the player valuations board!
Of course, this guide will not work for players with primaries around outstanding, players with high secondaries or very young players. It may also be hard to use for keepers or all-rounders. In these cases, you are encouraged to use the Player Valuations forum.
Helpful Links-
The Player Valuations Forum -
http://www.fromthepavilion.org/forum...forum.php?f=22
The Newbie Guide’s Glossary (For terminology you are uncertain on) -
http://fromthepavilion.webs.com/index.htm
The Transfer Market -
http://www.fromthepavilion.org/transfer.htm
Please Comment.
By thedon5- The Master of the Transfer Market.
Link:
http://www.thenightwatchman.info/archives/250