As you know the cars in the top 10 are not allowed to refuel between Q3 qualifying and race, here is fuel-adjusted grid with estimated first pit-stop laps:
1. Jenson Button - lap 17
2. Sebastian Vettel - lap 15
3. Mark Webber - lap 17
4. Rubens Barrichello - lap 16
5. Kimi Raikkonen - lap 17
6. Jarno Trulli - lap 16
7. Felipe Massa - lap 16
8. Nico Rosberg - lap 18
Vettel was carrying 6kg less fuel compared to Button and only 2 laps advantage so I assume Button will move up after first pit stop (without safety car). The surprise package could be Mark Webber.
__________________
|